What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 20 Aug 2017 → 21 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 15 Apr 2012 → 27 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 11 Jun 2025 → 04 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 23 Jun 2026 → 09 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 11 May 2021 → 24 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 13 May 2010 → 04 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 04 Nov 2021 → 08 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 29 Apr 2018 → 12 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 21 Aug 2022 → 02 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 28 Jan 2017 → 10 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 452 | 111 | 24.6% | 1 | 13 |
| Finnish Cup | 108 | 25 | 23.2% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 11 | 16.2% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 11 |
| 2025 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2024 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2023 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2020 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2018 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 2016 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2015 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2013 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 13 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2010 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2007 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2004 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2003 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 442 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), HJK Helsinki drew 109 where the draw model expected 104.0 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.