What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 22 Feb 2011 → 25 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 27 Sep 2008 → 06 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 01 Dec 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 28 Aug 2010 → 28 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 24 Aug 2007 → 20 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Oct 2007 → 17 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 15 Aug 2009 → 08 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 01 Mar 2008 → 18 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Mar 2010 → 27 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 23 Aug 2008 → 06 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 182 | 48 | 26.4% | 0 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2010 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2008 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 11 |
| 2007 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 192 matches (Nov 2003 – Apr 2011), Histon drew 49 where the draw model expected 49.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 48.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.