What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 30 Aug 2022 → 16 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 22 Aug 2021 → 22 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 05 Aug 2020 → 10 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 29 Jan 2019 → 15 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 31 Jul 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 14 May 2016 → 12 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 08 Oct 2020 → 04 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 01 Jul 2020 → 26 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 04 Jun 2017 → 27 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 30 Aug 2015 → 20 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 205 | 64 | 31.2% | 7 | 7 |
| Finnish Cup | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 235 matches (Apr 2015 – Apr 2025), HIFK Helsinki drew 72 where the draw model expected 59.1 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 56.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.