What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 25 Feb 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 10 Dec 2000 → 06 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 29 Aug 2025 → 07 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 30 May 2020 → 24 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 14 Apr 2007 → 28 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 27 May 2023 → 01 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 15 Oct 2022 → 05 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 22 May 2021 → 29 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 21 Dec 2011 → 31 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 02 Mar 2003 → 02 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 816 | 203 | 24.9% | 1 | 17 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 320 | 88 | 27.5% | 2 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 80 | 21 | 26.3% | 1 | 5 |
| DFB-Pokal | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 0 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 15 |
| 2024 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 14 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2019 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 17 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2014 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2010 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2009 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2008 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 15 |
| 2006 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2000 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 1998 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 10 |
| 1997 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 1995 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 12 |
| 1994 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 1978 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 459 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Hertha BSC drew 115 where the draw model expected 112.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 116.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.