What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 Dec 2011 → 29 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 09 Feb 1997 → 16 Apr 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Oct 2011 → 27 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 28 Nov 1998 → 07 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Nov 2013 → 12 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 18 Jun 2006 → 08 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 21 Apr 2013 → 08 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 03 Jan 2011 → 20 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 30 Oct 2010 → 12 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 02 May 1999 → 20 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 420 | 123 | 29.3% | 2 | 18 |
| La Liga | 80 | 13 | 16.3% | 0 | 12 |
| Copa del Rey | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2013 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2012 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 17 |
| 2011 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2010 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2009 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 5 |
| 2008 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2007 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 4 |
| 2006 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2005 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 1999 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 1996 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 7 |
Over 531 matches (Sep 1996 – Aug 2026), Hércules CF drew 146 where the draw model expected 154.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.