What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 21 Aug 2022 → 05 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 06 Jun 2015 → 24 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 11 Aug 2019 → 02 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 05 Aug 2016 → 16 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 06 Apr 2014 → 18 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 12 Apr 2015 → 31 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 06 Oct 2013 → 22 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 14 Jul 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 29 May 2011 → 05 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 Aug 2021 → 21 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 244 | 59 | 24.2% | 12 | 13 |
| Swedish Cup | 131 | 25 | 19.1% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 4 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2020 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 14 |
| 2014 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2013 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 5 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1999 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1944 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1943 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1941 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
Over 194 matches (Mar 2015 – Mar 2026), Helsingborgs IF drew 41 where the draw model expected 45.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 45.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.