What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 04 Nov 2009 → 10 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 09 Sep 2007 → 27 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 03 May 2003 → 02 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 29 Oct 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 11 Sep 1998 → 11 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 05 Feb 2005 → 01 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 01 Oct 1999 → 29 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 May 1994 → 26 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 11 Jan 2023 → 01 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Oct 2023 → 21 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1125 | 292 | 26.0% | 5 | 22 |
| KNVB Cup | 60 | 7 | 11.7% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 4 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2025 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 2022 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2016 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2011 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2009 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 17 |
| 2006 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2004 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 15 |
| 2002 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 1998 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 1997 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 1996 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 1994 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 12 |
| 1993 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
Over 443 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SC Heerenveen drew 114 where the draw model expected 97.2 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 100.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.