What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 03 Jun 2022 → 30 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 18 Jun 2016 → 27 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 24 Apr 2016 → 12 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 27 Jul 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 12 Aug 2020 → 11 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 27 Oct 2018 → 30 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 20 May 2017 → 25 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 16 Jul 2021 → 31 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Sep 2020 → 21 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 01 May 2019 → 25 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 196 | 41 | 20.9% | 34 | 34 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 37 | 0 | 0.0% | 35 |
| 2021 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2019 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 211 matches (Apr 2015 – Dec 2022), Hebei drew 43 where the draw model expected 51.6 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 52.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.