What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 28 Jul 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Apr 2026 → 30 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Mar 2020 → 28 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 30 Mar 2019 → 25 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 11 Sep 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 11 May 2021 → 07 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 06 Oct 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 01 Mar 2025 → 12 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 12 May 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 15 Jul 2022 → 31 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 271 | 75 | 27.7% | 3 | 15 |
| Austrian Cup | 103 | 28 | 27.2% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 14 |
| 2025 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2022 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2018 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 17 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 312 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), TSV Hartberg drew 87 where the draw model expected 72.2 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 75.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.