What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 27 May 1996 → 18 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 22 May 1997 → 25 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 20 Jul 1997 → 31 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 07 Sep 1996 → 22 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 06 Jun 1984 → 02 Jul 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 09 May 2001 → 27 Jun 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 23 Apr 1998 → 03 Jun 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 12 May 1996 → 19 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 08 Jun 1978 → 29 Jul 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 31 May 1973 → 28 Jun 1973 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Football Cup | 97 | 23 | 23.7% | 1 | 4 |
| 1. divisjon | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 1 | 15 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 8 |
| 1996 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 14 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 145 matches (Jul 1963 – Aug 2026), Harstad IL drew 34 where the draw model expected 25.0 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.