What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 92 | 17 | 18.5% | 2 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2011 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2010 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 106 matches (Jul 1995 – Aug 2014), Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 20 where the draw model expected 24.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
A flat league average would have expected 23.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.