What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 09 Dec 2005 → 14 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 24 Sep 2024 → 01 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 22 Sep 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 31 Jul 2009 → 05 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 06 May 2007 → 06 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 25 Feb 2024 → 19 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 05 Oct 2019 → 01 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 15 May 2022 → 17 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 22 Mar 2008 → 09 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 06 Apr 2025 → 19 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 468 | 131 | 28.0% | 1 | 16 |
| Bundesliga | 374 | 96 | 25.7% | 10 | 10 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 344 | 87 | 25.3% | 12 | 20 |
| DFB-Pokal | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 1 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 13 |
| 2023 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2018 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 11 |
| 2016 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2013 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 16 |
| 2008 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2006 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 18 |
| 2005 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1997 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 1996 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 1995 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1993 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 456 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Hansa Rostock drew 125 where the draw model expected 126.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 124.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.