What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 28 Sep 2024 → 25 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 29 Nov 2008 → 14 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 Feb 2012 → 28 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 11 Aug 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 08 Nov 2014 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 22 Oct 1994 → 27 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 09 Dec 2017 → 10 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 25 Sep 2007 → 15 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 Feb 1995 → 06 May 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 28 Mar 2018 → 14 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 504 | 131 | 26.0% | 2 | 19 |
| Scottish Premiership | 372 | 88 | 23.7% | 5 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 229 | 60 | 26.2% | 0 | 9 |
| Scottish League Cup | 78 | 16 | 20.5% | 2 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Scottish League Two | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 4 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2019 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 11 |
| 2017 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2011 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2007 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 2006 | 41 | 19 | 46.3% | 5 |
| 2005 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2004 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2003 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2002 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 8 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 1996 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 11 |
| 1995 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 1994 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 8 |
Over 501 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Hamilton Academical drew 122 where the draw model expected 118.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.