What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 16 Mar 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 18 Feb 2023 → 27 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 05 Oct 2024 → 23 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 21 Aug 2013 → 25 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 29 Aug 2026 → 28 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 09 Nov 2025 → 12 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 03 May 2025 → 13 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Aug 2014 → 01 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 05 Aug 2017 → 17 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 Oct 2015 → 12 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 274 | 72 | 26.3% | 8 | 22 |
| Swedish Cup | 104 | 20 | 19.2% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 24 |
| 2023 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 13 |
| 2022 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2014 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1942 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 267 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Halmstads BK drew 68 where the draw model expected 63.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 63.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.