What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 455 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), BK Häcken drew 110 where the draw model expected 103.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 108.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 19 Sep 2024 → 23 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 08 Jul 2023 → 05 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 18 Feb 2023 → 18 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Aug 2025 → 05 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 20 Sep 2014 → 04 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 16 Aug 2015 → 31 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 27 Feb 2016 → 01 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 22 Oct 2023 → 26 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 09 Nov 2025 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 21 Oct 2018 → 09 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 442 | 113 | 25.6% | 1 | 14 |
| Swedish Cup | 107 | 18 | 16.8% | 3 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 43 | 3 | 7.0% | 14 |
| 2022 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2012 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
IF Elfsborg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.