What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 19 Sep 2024 → 23 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 08 Jul 2023 → 05 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 18 Feb 2023 → 18 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Aug 2025 → 05 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 20 Sep 2014 → 04 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 16 Aug 2015 → 31 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 27 Feb 2016 → 01 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 22 Oct 2023 → 26 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 09 Nov 2025 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 21 Oct 2018 → 09 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 446 | 114 | 25.6% | 0 | 14 |
| Swedish Cup | 107 | 18 | 16.8% | 3 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 43 | 3 | 7.0% | 14 |
| 2022 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2012 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 460 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), BK Häcken drew 111 where the draw model expected 104.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 109.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.