What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 24 Aug 1996 → 24 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 11 Apr 1999 → 17 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 02 Mar 1998 → 05 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 22 May 1997 → 27 Jul 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 28 Feb 1999 → 21 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 16 Nov 1998 → 04 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 25 Sep 1998 → 25 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 16 Aug 1998 → 13 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 15 Apr 1998 → 24 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 02 Nov 1997 → 23 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 102 | 32 | 31.4% | 10 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 10 |
| 1998 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 1997 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 1996 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 12 |
Over 105 matches (Aug 1996 – Jul 2026), FC Gütersloh drew 32 where the draw model expected 29.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.