What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 Mar 2017 → 23 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 16 Nov 2002 → 12 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 01 Feb 2014 → 03 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 10 May 2014 → 20 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 26 Oct 2014 → 14 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 24 Sep 2024 → 22 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 25 Apr 2015 → 22 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 12 Apr 2013 → 31 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 25 Feb 2025 → 25 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Feb 2013 → 29 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 639 | 206 | 32.2% | 6 | 11 |
| Ligue 1 | 482 | 122 | 25.3% | 1 | 20 |
| Coupe de France | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 19 |
| 2016 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 12 |
| 2014 | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | 17 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2010 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 4 |
| 2009 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2008 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 5 |
| 2007 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2006 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2005 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2004 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2003 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 13 |
| 2002 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2001 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 1999 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1996 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 1995 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 4 |
Over 460 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), EA Guingamp drew 127 where the draw model expected 132.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.