What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 04 Nov 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 07 Apr 2023 → 17 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 19 Dec 1999 → 02 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 24 Mar 1996 → 15 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 17 Apr 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 23 Jan 2022 → 15 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 19 Mar 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 10 May 2003 → 17 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 25 Sep 2021 → 17 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 21 Feb 2021 → 30 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 1036 | 247 | 23.8% | 0 | 15 |
| UEFA Europa League | 72 | 16 | 22.2% | 0 | 6 |
| Taça de Portugal | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2024 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 2023 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 14 |
| 2022 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 11 |
| 2020 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2019 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2016 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2009 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 6 |
| 2007 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2006 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2005 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 12 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2000 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 13 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 1997 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 1996 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 13 |
| 1995 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 1994 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1986 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 451 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Vitória de Guimarães drew 106 where the draw model expected 112.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.