FRA · Club

Gueugnon ☆

Statistics
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,434 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,590 reached 12 May 2000
Rank #14,335 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 508 last 16 May 2008

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Ligue 2 464 153 33.0%
Ligue 1 38 14 36.8%
Coupe de France 4 0 0.0%
UEFA Europa League 2 1 50.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2008 20 5 25.0% 6
2007 40 13 32.5% 10
2006 39 10 25.6% 7
2005 38 10 26.3% 8
2004 38 17 44.7% 5
2003 38 15 39.5% 5
2002 37 13 35.1% 8
2001 34 14 41.2% 6
2000 42 15 35.7% 6
1999 37 17 46.0% 6
1998 40 12 30.0% 7
1997 44 7 15.9% 19
1996 39 11 28.2% 5
1995 22 9 40.9% 3

Over 508 matches (Jul 1995 – May 2008), Gueugnon drew 168 where the draw model expected 159.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 155.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.