What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 20 May 2006 → 23 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 03 Mar 2012 → 25 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 24 Sep 2008 → 06 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 01 Jul 2023 → 19 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 15 Nov 2024 → 24 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 10 Mar 1999 → 07 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 23 Mar 2022 → 12 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 29 Sep 2010 → 26 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Jul 2002 → 13 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 23 Mar 2023 → 20 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 103 | 20 | 19.4% | 1 | 4 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 65 | 13 | 20.0% | 3 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Gold Cup | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 3 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Coupe de l'Outre-Mer | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2007 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 277 matches (Mar 1934 – Oct 2026), Guadeloupe drew 48 where the draw model expected 59.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 59.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.