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Guadeloupe
Guadeloupe national football team
Played
275
Draw %
17.5%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
13
20 May 2006 → 23 Jan 2007
Avg top run
7.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.29
p50
12.0%
p100
16.0%
Draw score
0.145
rank #1,116
Draws
48
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,618
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,728
reached 15 Oct 2008
Rank
#101
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
271
last 24 Jun 2025
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 275 matches (Mar 1934 – Oct 2026), Guadeloupe drew 47 where the draw model expected 59.0 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 58.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 13
20 May 2006 → 23 Jan 2007
2 10
03 Mar 2012 → 25 Oct 2012
3 9
24 Sep 2008 → 06 Dec 2008
4 8
01 Jul 2023 → 19 Nov 2023
5 7
15 Nov 2024 → 24 Jun 2025
6 6
10 Mar 1999 → 07 Jun 1999
7 5
23 Mar 2022 → 12 Jun 2022
8 5
29 Sep 2010 → 26 Oct 2010
9 5
07 Jul 2002 → 13 Nov 2002
10 4
23 Mar 2023 → 20 Jun 2023
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 20 May 2006 → 23 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 03 Mar 2012 → 25 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 24 Sep 2008 → 06 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 01 Jul 2023 → 19 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 15 Nov 2024 → 24 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 10 Mar 1999 → 07 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 23 Mar 2022 → 12 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 29 Sep 2010 → 26 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Jul 2002 → 13 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 23 Mar 2023 → 20 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 103 | 20 | 19.4% | 1 | 4 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 63 | 12 | 19.1% | 3 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Gold Cup | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 3 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Coupe de l'Outre-Mer | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2007 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
275 matches · page 1 / 7
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