What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 17 Dec 2011 → 22 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 02 Oct 2004 → 06 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 18 May 2025 → 30 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 04 Nov 2006 → 28 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 May 2005 → 06 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 30 Jan 2010 → 11 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 16 Aug 2015 → 20 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 Nov 2007 → 23 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 22 Sep 2024 → 30 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 30 Jan 2016 → 10 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1023 | 258 | 25.2% | 1 | 16 |
| KNVB Cup | 49 | 4 | 8.2% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2023 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2017 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 2011 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2009 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2006 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2004 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 2003 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2002 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 5 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 1996 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 1994 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 406 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Groningen drew 101 where the draw model expected 93.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 93.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.