What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 16 May 2026 → 21 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 25 Oct 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 04 Nov 2004 → 09 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 07 May 1996 → 04 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 21 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Apr 1999 → 09 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 07 Apr 1981 → 16 Sep 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 27 Apr 1968 → 09 Nov 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Nov 2024 → 08 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 30 Oct 2018 → 24 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austrian Cup | 171 | 27 | 15.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Bundesliga | 74 | 27 | 36.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1995 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Over 104 matches (Sep 2018 – Oct 2026), Grazer AK drew 29 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.