What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 16 Aug 2008 → 28 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 26 Dec 2009 → 13 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 15 Aug 2006 → 12 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 15 Oct 2005 → 02 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 04 Apr 2009 → 26 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 18 Aug 2007 → 08 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 06 Mar 2007 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Dec 2008 → 17 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 20 Oct 2007 → 22 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 31 Jan 2006 → 04 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 224 | 62 | 27.7% | 1 | 10 |
| FA Cup | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 6 |
| 2008 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2007 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 6 |
| 2006 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2005 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 233 matches (Nov 1952 – Apr 2010), Grays Athletic drew 63 where the draw model expected 60.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 58.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.