What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 12 Dec 2014 → 20 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 21 Sep 2014 → 03 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 11 Aug 2012 → 26 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 05 Oct 2012 → 16 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 11 Apr 2000 → 22 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 15 Apr 1987 → 07 Oct 1987 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 24 Oct 1995 → 16 Jun 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 27 Jul 1986 → 29 Oct 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 16 May 2015 → 30 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 27 Apr 2013 → 19 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polish Cup | 90 | 13 | 14.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Ekstraklasa | 67 | 19 | 28.4% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 2012 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1999 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 161 matches (Jul 1984 – Sep 2021), GKS Bełchatów drew 33 where the draw model expected 41.5 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.