What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 08 Dec 2025 → 27 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 04 Nov 2023 → 14 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 21 Oct 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 06 Jan 2025 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 08 Sep 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 19 Nov 2017 → 21 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 09 Mar 2025 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 26 Jan 2024 → 23 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 07 Mar 2021 → 28 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 18 Jan 2020 → 16 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 278 | 88 | 31.7% | 3 | 13 |
| Coppa Italia | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 10 |
| 2025 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2023 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2022 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2021 | 41 | 18 | 43.9% | 6 |
| 2020 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 4 |
| 2017 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
Over 281 matches (Jul 2017 – Apr 2026), Giana Erminio drew 88 where the draw model expected 87.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 84.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.