What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 25 Mar 2000 → 25 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 20 Mar 2004 → 02 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 03 Mar 2001 → 18 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 15 Oct 2005 → 11 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 13 Sep 2009 → 28 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 07 Oct 2007 → 26 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 02 Apr 2005 → 20 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 Mar 1996 → 11 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 23 Aug 1997 → 19 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 14 Mar 2009 → 16 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 592 | 145 | 24.5% | 3 | 21 |
| Belgian Cup | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 7 |
| 2011 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 2010 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2007 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2006 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2005 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2004 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 16 |
| 2003 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 9 |
| 2001 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 14 |
| 2000 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 21 |
| 1999 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 1998 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1997 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 1996 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 1995 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 3 |
Over 605 matches (Aug 1995 – Mar 2013), Germinal Beerschot drew 148 where the draw model expected 150.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 147.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.