What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 22 Jan 2023 → 03 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 27 Oct 2024 → 22 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 24 Jan 2025 → 28 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 24 Feb 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 12 May 2024 → 17 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 31 Oct 2021 → 13 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 19 Sep 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 13 Apr 2026 → 16 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 15 May 2022 → 08 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 03 Sep 2008 → 17 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 267 | 72 | 27.0% | 6 | 34 |
| Turkish Cup | 81 | 18 | 22.2% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 34 |
| 2022 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
Over 313 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Gaziantep FK drew 83 where the draw model expected 76.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 76.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.