What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 09 Oct 2020 → 12 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 30 May 2010 → 03 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 16 Nov 2023 → 11 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 23 Sep 1984 → 13 Feb 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 03 Sep 2006 → 24 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 31 May 2003 → 16 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 25 Aug 2002 → 16 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 31 Mar 2026 → 29 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 05 Sep 2025 → 14 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 20 Jan 2022 → 23 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 100 | 28 | 28.0% | 2 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 66 | 19 | 28.8% | 3 | 4 |
| AmÃlcar Cabral Cup | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 0 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 4 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| African Friendship Games | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2024 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2022 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2021 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2012 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2002 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1984 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 1983 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 1979 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 268 matches (Feb 1953 – Sep 2026), Gambia drew 75 where the draw model expected 69.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 68.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.