What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 03 Mar 2024 → 01 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 09 Nov 2025 → 19 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 28 Sep 2012 → 17 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 11 Aug 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 13 Jul 2024 → 21 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 03 Nov 2024 → 31 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 11 Aug 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 12 Apr 2004 → 05 Aug 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 14 Sep 2026 → 18 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 Aug 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 116 | 32 | 27.6% | 1 | 12 |
| Swedish Cup | 107 | 20 | 18.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2025 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 13 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1942 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 139 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), GAIS drew 30 where the draw model expected 31.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.