What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 24 Sep 2024 → 10 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 12 Sep 2026 → 30 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 04 Mar 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 16 Mar 2024 → 17 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 03 Sep 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 21 Dec 2024 → 04 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 06 Apr 2019 → 03 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 13 Oct 2018 → 27 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 07 Oct 2017 → 25 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 09 Nov 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 237 | 59 | 24.9% | 10 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 2025 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 10 |
| 2024 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 248 matches (Nov 2015 – Oct 2026), Fylde drew 61 where the draw model expected 63.1 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 62.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.