What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 25 Apr 2022 → 11 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 17 Apr 2017 → 03 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 Apr 2010 → 23 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 05 Dec 2009 → 06 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 16 Dec 2023 → 21 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 10 Nov 2019 → 26 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 10 Mar 2019 → 28 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 21 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Dec 2016 → 11 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 19 Jan 2009 → 28 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 564 | 173 | 30.7% | 4 | 16 |
| Serie A | 124 | 30 | 24.2% | 2 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2025 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 17 |
| 2021 | 42 | 21 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2007 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 7 |
| 2006 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 8 |
Over 484 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Frosinone Calcio drew 141 where the draw model expected 139.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 146.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.