What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 08 May 2010 → 12 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 04 Apr 2023 → 21 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 22 Nov 2015 → 10 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 20 Sep 2003 → 14 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 09 Mar 2002 → 22 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 11 May 1996 → 02 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 15 Aug 2009 → 28 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 06 Mar 1999 → 29 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 26 Mar 1994 → 17 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 04 May 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 892 | 228 | 25.6% | 4 | 17 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 238 | 52 | 21.9% | 4 | 15 |
| DFB-Pokal | 60 | 12 | 20.0% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 12 |
| 2025 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2023 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 16 |
| 2022 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2013 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2012 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2011 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 19 |
| 2009 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2007 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2006 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 11 |
| 2003 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 15 |
| 2001 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 1998 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1996 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 15 |
| 1995 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1994 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 1993 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
Over 487 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SC Freiburg drew 118 where the draw model expected 115.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.