What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 24 Jan 2021 → 08 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 19 Sep 1997 → 14 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 11 Feb 2023 → 21 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 17 Aug 2025 → 08 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Apr 2022 → 02 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Oct 2019 → 17 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Jan 2019 → 30 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 26 Feb 2000 → 07 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 01 Nov 2023 → 17 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 22 Dec 2021 → 03 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 513 | 122 | 23.8% | 0 | 19 |
| KNVB Cup | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2020 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 2019 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 2018 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 14 |
| 1996 | 35 | 17 | 48.6% | 5 |
| 1995 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 312 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), Fortuna Sittard drew 64 where the draw model expected 65.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 71.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.