What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 16 Jun 2013 → 03 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 06 Jun 2010 → 01 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 05 May 2013 → 29 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 09 Apr 2006 → 13 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 13 Aug 2005 → 25 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 11 May 2005 → 12 Jun 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 01 Jun 2015 → 28 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 13 Aug 2006 → 10 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 27 Sep 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 15 Aug 2010 → 19 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 148 | 36 | 24.3% | 0 | 19 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 6 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 19 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2005 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 196 matches (May 2001 – Sep 2026), Follo FK drew 46 where the draw model expected 39.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 39.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.