What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 21 Dec 2017 → 13 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 19 Feb 2023 → 11 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 10 Jan 2026 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 05 Aug 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 09 Mar 2025 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 17 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 18 Dec 2022 → 01 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 11 Oct 2020 → 04 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 Jan 1998 → 15 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 11 Feb 2024 → 06 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 220 | 59 | 26.8% | 2 | 13 |
| Serie B | 116 | 37 | 31.9% | 4 | 16 |
| Serie A | 68 | 23 | 33.8% | 0 | 6 |
| Coppa Italia | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2023 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 4 |
| 2021 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2020 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 7 |
| 1997 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 1993 | 16 | 9 | 56.3% | 2 |
Over 307 matches (Aug 2015 – Apr 2026), Calcio Foggia drew 82 where the draw model expected 92.0 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 93.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.