What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 25 Jan 2011 → 13 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 06 Apr 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 19 Sep 2015 → 28 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 20 Mar 2018 → 11 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 21 Sep 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 27 Sep 2014 → 29 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 29 Mar 2024 → 13 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 16 Mar 2021 → 27 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Dec 2022 → 24 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 20 Oct 2020 → 21 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 449 | 131 | 29.2% | 7 | 13 |
| League Two | 198 | 61 | 30.8% | 4 | 14 |
| National League | 92 | 22 | 23.9% | 2 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 1 | 3 |
| League Cup | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 9 |
| 2023 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 50 | 20 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2018 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 6 |
| 2016 | 53 | 21 | 39.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2014 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2012 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2011 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 20 |
| 2010 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 590 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Fleetwood Town drew 175 where the draw model expected 164.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.