What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 30 May 2021 → 15 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 21 May 2022 → 24 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 01 Jun 2014 → 14 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 30 Aug 2015 → 08 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 31 May 2015 → 26 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 12 Nov 2022 → 13 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 28 Sep 2014 → 05 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 28 Jul 2019 → 25 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 09 Aug 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 06 Jan 2021 → 04 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 565 | 138 | 24.4% | 4 | 18 |
| Copa do Brasil | 97 | 21 | 21.7% | 2 | 8 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Supercopa do Brasil | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Intercontinental Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2023 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2022 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 15 |
| 2021 | 59 | 11 | 18.6% | 18 |
| 2020 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 5 |
| 2019 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 14 |
| 2014 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 15 |
| 2013 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 549 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Flamengo (RJ) drew 126 where the draw model expected 143.9 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 147.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.