What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 08 Apr 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 19 Aug 2012 → 20 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 14 May 2017 → 25 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 05 Nov 2016 → 31 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 20 Oct 2012 → 04 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 17 Apr 2016 → 15 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 08 Dec 2018 → 31 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 05 Nov 2017 → 09 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 04 Dec 2015 → 02 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 28 Apr 2013 → 26 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 184 | 48 | 26.1% | 1 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 0 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2018 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 17 |
| 2017 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 11 |
| 2016 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2013 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 124 matches (Jul 2015 – May 2019), Anzhi Makhachkala drew 29 where the draw model expected 32.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.