What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 16 Jun 2017 → 27 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 03 Jun 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 01 Jul 2022 → 24 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 25 Mar 2017 → 26 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 01 Mar 2019 → 22 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 01 Aug 2020 → 07 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 05 Jul 2019 → 13 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 03 May 2019 → 28 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 18 Apr 2022 → 23 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 24 Oct 2020 → 26 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 201 | 43 | 21.4% | 2 | 16 |
| FAI Cup | 117 | 33 | 28.2% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2021 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 18 |
| 2016 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2015 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2005 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 1998 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 225 matches (May 2015 – Jul 2026), Finn Harps drew 49 where the draw model expected 55.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 55.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.