What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 14 Jul 2012 → 29 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 09 Apr 2014 → 25 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 12 Sep 2012 → 24 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 21 Sep 2014 → 22 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 01 Jun 2014 → 10 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Aug 2016 → 11 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 28 May 2016 → 19 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Sep 2015 → 17 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 27 Jun 2015 → 14 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 22 Aug 2015 → 06 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 152 | 40 | 26.3% | 3 | 12 |
| Copa do Brasil | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 3 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 6 |
| 2014 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2013 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
Over 108 matches (Mar 2015 – Mar 2026), Figueirense drew 29 where the draw model expected 31.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 29.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.