What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 02 Apr 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 13 Feb 2022 → 26 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 08 Nov 2017 → 20 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 11 Apr 2025 → 21 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 10 Feb 2024 → 01 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 09 Jan 2021 → 18 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 19 Jan 2019 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Dec 2024 → 09 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 30 Jul 2022 → 24 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 23 Sep 2020 → 17 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 276 | 76 | 27.5% | 4 | 10 |
| Serie B | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 2 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2023 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2022 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 330 matches (Aug 2015 – Aug 2026), FeralpiSalò drew 88 where the draw model expected 101.7 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 98.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.