Fenerbahce
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 20 Oct 2026.
Over 620 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Fenerbahce drew 147 where the draw model expected 130.5 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 149.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 15 Sep 2001 → 10 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 27 | 14 Aug 2004 → 30 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 06 Nov 2010 → 18 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 17 Mar 2000 → 15 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 30 Oct 2022 → 29 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Aug 2023 → 09 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 03 May 1989 → 23 Dec 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 05 Mar 2006 → 29 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 25 Sep 1998 → 14 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 21 Nov 2020 → 18 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 1112 | 233 | 21.0% | 3 | 22 |
| Turkish Cup | 267 | 60 | 22.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 152 | 40 | 26.3% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 93 | 16 | 17.2% | 1 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 0 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 15 |
| 2022 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2021 | 60 | 17 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2016 | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2013 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 2011 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2007 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 14 |
| 2005 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 47 | 3 | 6.4% | 25 |
| 2003 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 21 |
| 2000 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 18 |
| 1999 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 1994 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 11 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1989 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
☆
· TUR · Turkish Cup
|
|||||
| ☆ 15 Mar 1978 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 29 Jul 1977 |
Fenerbahce
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 15 Jul 1977 |
Aston Villa
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 30 Mar 1977 |
Fenerbahce
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 09 Mar 1977 |
Trabzonspor
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jul 1976 | Fehérvár FC | 4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 15 Jul 1976 |
Fenerbahce
|
2–1 | Fehérvár FC | H |
|
| ☆ 01 Oct 1975 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 17 Sep 1975 |
SL Benfica
|
7–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 12 Feb 1975 |
Trabzonspor
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jan 1975 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 06 Nov 1974 |
Fenerbahce
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 23 Oct 1974 |
Ruch Chorzów
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 02 Oct 1974 |
Fenerbahce
|
2–0 | Jeunesse Esch | H |
|
| ☆ 18 Sep 1974 | Jeunesse Esch | 2–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 22 May 1974 |
Fenerbahce
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 01 May 1974 |
Bursaspor
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 17 Apr 1974 |
Galatasaray SK
|
0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 20 Mar 1974 |
Fenerbahce
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 27 Feb 1974 |
Fenerbahce
|
3–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Feb 1974 |
Trabzonspor
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 19 Aug 1973 |
Fenerbahce
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Aug 1973 |
OGC Nice
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jul 1973 |
FC Argeș Pitești
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 15 Jul 1973 |
Fenerbahce
|
5–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 04 Apr 1973 | MKE Ankaragücü | 0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 15 Mar 1973 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–2 | MKE Ankaragücü | A |
|
| ☆ 28 Feb 1973 |
Fenerbahce
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 28 Jan 1973 |
Adanaspor
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jul 1972 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 15 Jul 1972 |
Ruch Chorzów
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 10 May 1972 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 26 Apr 1972 |
Altay SK
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 19 Apr 1972 |
Eskişehirspor
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 30 Mar 1972 |
Fenerbahce
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Jul 1971 |
Ferencvárosi TC
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 15 Jul 1971 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 19 May 1971 |
Eskişehirspor
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 05 May 1971 |
Fenerbahce
|
0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 17 Mar 1971 |
Fenerbahce
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Tue, 20 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Mon, 26 Oct 2026
☆
TUR · Süper Lig
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
TUR · Süper Lig
Wed, 04 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sun, 08 Nov 2026
☆
TUR · Süper Lig
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
TUR · Süper Lig
Wed, 25 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
☆
TUR · Süper Lig
|
||||||
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Oct 16:45 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 9.6% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Oct 18:30 |
Galatasaray SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 16:00 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.4% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 17:45 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 13:00 |
Çorum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 16:00 |
Kocaelispor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.9% |
|
| Wed, 25 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Nov 20:00 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.9% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Nov 16:00 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.