What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 21 Aug 2017 → 30 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 28 Jan 2019 → 10 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 05 Nov 2016 → 08 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 15 Aug 2016 → 02 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 04 Mar 2017 → 15 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 01 Apr 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 28 Oct 2018 → 01 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 14 Apr 2018 → 06 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 30 Apr 2017 → 20 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 22 Apr 2012 → 12 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 132 | 30 | 22.7% | 1 | 26 |
| Taça de Portugal | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2017 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 2016 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 2011 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
Over 109 matches (Aug 2016 – Sep 2026), CD Feirense drew 24 where the draw model expected 27.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.