What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 19 Aug 2023 → 07 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 12 Sep 2025 → 23 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 23 Sep 2024 → 02 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 21 Apr 2023 → 05 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 04 Apr 2026 → 26 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 23 Nov 2023 → 17 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 24 Nov 2022 → 09 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 06 Mar 2021 → 23 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 15 Oct 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 09 May 2022 → 29 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 184 | 37 | 20.1% | 9 | 13 |
| Armenian Cup | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 10 |
| 2025 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 11 |
| 2024 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 38 | 3 | 7.9% | 13 |
| 2022 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 206 matches (Sep 2019 – Sep 2026), Van drew 40 where the draw model expected 45.8 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 42.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.