What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 21 May 2006 → 16 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 28 Jul 2002 → 12 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 01 May 2010 → 22 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 19 Apr 2009 → 02 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 15 Jul 2016 → 23 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Oct 2024 → 05 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 12 Aug 2007 → 10 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 10 Jun 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 22 Nov 2022 → 11 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 10 Apr 2008 → 21 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 684 | 169 | 24.7% | 1 | 16 |
| Armenian Cup | 124 | 23 | 18.6% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2018 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 10 |
| 2017 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 14 |
| 2015 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2013 | 58 | 23 | 39.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2010 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2009 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 15 |
| 2008 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2007 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 13 |
| 2006 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 18 |
| 2005 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2004 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2003 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2002 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 12 |
| 2001 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
Over 387 matches (Mar 2015 – May 2026), Urartu drew 101 where the draw model expected 88.8 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 79.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.