What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 21 Apr 2023 → 11 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 04 Dec 2024 → 30 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Apr 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 24 Sep 2024 → 24 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 26 Nov 2022 → 02 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 06 Dec 2025 → 22 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 11 May 2021 → 25 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 22 Sep 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 31 Oct 2021 → 05 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Dec 2020 → 16 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 244 | 54 | 22.1% | 1 | 29 |
| Armenian Cup | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 14 |
| 2024 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 13 |
| 2023 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | 26 |
| 2022 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 4 |
| 2021 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 |
| 2020 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 5 |
| 2019 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 296 matches (Sep 2017 – Oct 2026), FC Noah drew 67 where the draw model expected 64.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 60.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.