ARM · Club

Kotayk ☆

Statistics
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,616 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,661 reached 30 Oct 2005
Rank #486 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 173 last 22 Sep 2016

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Premier League 125 29 23.2%
Armenian Cup 46 6 13.0%
UEFA Cup Winners' Cup 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2016 1 1 100.0% 0
2005 31 9 29.0% 9
2004 32 6 18.8% 6
2003 32 8 25.0% 6
2002 24 5 20.8% 6
2001 24 3 12.5% 10
2000 2 0 0.0% 2
1997 2 0 0.0% 2
1996 11 1 9.1% 6
1995 5 1 20.0% 3
1994 1 0 0.0% 1
1993 4 1 25.0% 2
1992 4 0 0.0% 4

Over 173 matches (Apr 1992 – Sep 2016), Kotayk drew 35 where the draw model expected 30.3 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 34.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.