What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 20 Jun 2009 → 07 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 25 May 2006 → 16 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 28 Mar 2010 → 12 Jun 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 12 Sep 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 13 Aug 2016 → 30 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 24 Sep 2006 → 21 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 07 Nov 2024 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Nov 2016 → 16 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 02 Apr 2025 → 22 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 31 Oct 2018 → 09 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 432 | 107 | 24.8% | 6 | 16 |
| Armenian Cup | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2024 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2019 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2017 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2015 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2013 | 64 | 21 | 32.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 12 |
| 2009 | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | 18 |
| 2008 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | 14 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 241 matches (Mar 2015 – May 2026), Gandzasar Kapan drew 64 where the draw model expected 55.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.